If I was really lucky, this would be a Wave…

…off the grid for the next few days, but that doesn’t mean I can’t trade snarky comments with my journalist cousin on the same topic we always do – future of the news. Until I get an Google Wave (HINT), this will have to be my “imaginary wave”:

If I was lucky, this would be a Wave


The Truth About the Multi-Channel Audience

New data surfaced late last week (although it feels like it’s a constant research point, so hardly new data) that continues to confirm what we already know: newspaper consumption is on the way down. A 1000-person survey from Opinion Research Corporation indicates that Americans have turned less to TV and print in the last year, while radio (ever so slightly) and online news consumption have increased. The chart below shows the last two years of data related to the proportion of sources each individual uses:

The Multi-Channel Dillema

This, to me, is the ultimate “what does this mean” data. The Media Post article that tipped me off to this new research wanted to focus on the growth of online and its impact on the decline of print. I think there’s much more to that in this data.

Draw an imaginary line across the current levels of information consumption. Now, sure, TV is definitely a spike but, overall, I think the bigger point here is that one channel isn’t enough for Americans and things are starting to aim for the middle. As a geek, I appreciate the data to show that more people are turning to online in the last year, but I don’t really think that it’s shocking or groundbreaking any longer. We not only balance our consumption, but we have started to balance our sources. We are getting closer and closer to a democratic news market, and that to me is fascinating.

It’s partially a trust issue (more sources is better), it’s partially an access issue (daily news is less universal), and it’s partially a convenience (cloud versus carbon). However, the more things get flat, I think it is better for the news consumer. The publishers may not love it (or at least the traditional publisher), but what’s the purpose of news then?


Why I Canceled ESPN Insider

Just hung up the phone with the friendly folks in (what I assume to be) Bristol, Connecticut, and, perhaps because it was early, but I didn’t get too much resistance when I said I was cancelling my four-years-running subscription to the paid section of ESPN.com – ESPN Insider. To be honest, it was a decision long overdue, probably held off even longer by the fact that you actually have to call during business hours instead of being able to discontinue the automatic renewal. It’s amazing what a force inertia is, but there’s actually a legitimate reason.

In the sports media world, the line is drawn very clearly between objective and opinionated information. There are undisputed stats, box scores, replays, standings – and these are universally (or thereabout) available. ESPN.com in no way has a monopoly on the final score of a certain game. The only content they have ultimate control over, in its origin, is the opinion of pundits and prognosticators. If you take out what they are talking about, we’re looking at the difference between the stock tables and the corporate profiler that both live in the Business section.

Let’s have some fun and be controversial for a second. No one can ever deny that Barry Bonds hit 762 home runs. There is a hard and fast record in sports media of each one, and that information is wildly accessible well beyond ESPN.com. ESPN’s role, as a journalistic outlet in name, is to provide that analysis and try and convince me through argument that they don’t count because of the circumstances and suspicion. That persuasive content on the site, well beyond the stats that are fact, are original and, basically, exclusive:

Barry's Stats v. Barry's Haters

Now, ESPN Insider takes some of this content from the last 14 years (yes, ESPN.com has been around that long) and puts it behind the subscription wall. Sometimes its exclusive, sometimes its just a certain opinion, but it’s never what could be considered validated, final, objective news. Occasionally, the value comes from the most respected of these “Insider Writers” who offer rumors for their value, but it is still at the end of the day just one writer and editorial.

As we continue on the long slow march to what some would claim to be inevitable pay walls, let this be the lesson: I did not renew my subscription to ESPN Insider because opinion is at an overwhelming volume and it is not needed for evidence. At the end of the day, there are those who blog specifically with their critique on those opinions, whether its the trade rumors that are shared or the prognosticators misguided prediction. I’m still getting that editorial, regardless. And if you think you can charge for the undeniably objective, you are wrong.

Sports provide the perfect balance for this because, as they say, the games are played on the field, not on paper. That stats will always be out there – and if you start charging me for your opinion, the marketplace is so vast that it is unrealistic to think that you will still completely corner it.


Newspaper Death Watch in Infographics

Thanks to Mint (and Steve Rubel for tipping off). Note the only areas of increase of revenue.

Ah, yes, the newspaper industry. Making millionaires out of billionaires.

MINT-DEATH-OF-NEWS-R2

Budget help from Mint.com


Quote of the Day: Newspaper Bailout Edition

“The newspaper industry is not seeking a financial “bailout” or any other kind of special subsidy. We don’t believe direct government financial assistance is appropriate for an industry whose core mission is news gathering, analysis and dissemination.  From a business perspective, we are happy to be treated no differently than other local businesses.  However, there are certain steps that Congress can take, in the short term, that will assist all businesses — including ours — that are attempting to stabilize their financial situations.”

~John Sturm, CEO of the Newspaper Association of America, before congress on 9/24/2009

Full story and copy of his statement at All Things D.


The Early 20th Century Link Economy

How long has the “link economy” been killing newspapers? Hint: it goes all the way back to before a Russian inventor filed a patent for a system of transmitting images by way of a cathode-ray tube. For the non-geeks, that’s the primitive invention of the Television.

Fascinating piece over at the Guardian on the history of some of the well-respected “elite” evening newspapers that crossed around England at the turn of the last century (underlined portion/emphasis is mine):

The Pall Mall Gazette (1865-1923), the St James’s Gazette (1880-1905), the Westminster Gazette (1892-1928) and the Globe (1830-1921) were clubland papers because their target reader was a gentleman relaxing in his club (probably in Pall Mall or St James’s Street) between work and the night’s social events. It was a gilded market, but a tiny one, with circulations on a scale that modern-day political blogs might hope to exceed. The 1949 Royal Commission on the Press estimates that a typical clubland paper sold “about 5,000″ a day in the 19th century; the newspaper designer and historian Allen Hutt suggests “an average of no more than around 20,000 at best”.

Like political blogs, however, clubland papers could rely on the amplifying effect of a link economy. In The Rise and Fall of the Political Press in Britain, Stephen Koss puts it from the point of view of JA Spender, long-time editor of the Liberal Westminster Gazette:

“The stature of a journal was measured by the gratitude it received from those whom it praised, the resentment it incurred from those whom it censured, and ‘above all’ – according to JA Spender – by the number of lesser journals that duplicated its contents.”

This link economy brought the Westminster a reputation in some circles as “the most powerful paper in Britain”. It didn’t bring money: the paper never turned a profit in three decades of existence.

The piece notes that the death of this sect of newspaper journalism by this fancied reputation driven economy started to set in around 1921, two years before the television patent. And by 1923, the remaining parts of the Globe and Pall Mall Gazette were absorbed into standard papers.

See – we’ve been killing newspapers for years. It’s not a new thing to rely on reputation.


Life and Times at the Emmy Awards

Last year’s Emmy Awards Show was awful. The five hosts thing, pandering toward reality TV (remember: those writers are a lot cheaper than the WGA folks). It was nice to see it turn a corner under the master guidance of Neil Patrick Harris.

It made it full circle and onto this blog for several reasons (although, if I could go out and find a list of all of the fake resume credits that John Hodgman came up with during his color commentary, I’d be really happy). The first is that “primetime” has seemingly gone the way of analog cable in the last year as the times that shows are on seem to matter less and less in an age of DVR and Hulu. Still, for me it’s pretty close to must watch TV.

Second reason why? Not only did Dr. Horrible’s Sing-A-Long Blog – the online only movie that was written/produced during the Writer’s Srtike at the end of 2007 – win an Emmy this year, it’s cast (including Emmy Host Neil Patrick Harris) made a nice little appearance to talk about the future of television. Enjoy:

Edit 9/23: The original one was removed, it appears, but here’s another version. The original is still down there in case it comes back.


What do you know about media convergence?

I wish Geekmetrics was a career choice. A truly awesome video to add to the collection:


Guest Posting at TechPresident

Check out my most recent attempt at understanding political media over at TechPresident. In this one, I argue that status messages may, in fact, have a place in advocacy because they give us a chance to set our own media:

More important than bias is the goal of these types of interactions. They aren’t about convincing anyone, but about raising the level of conversation to add to whatever may be the leading topics. The lesson from the major backlash against mainstream media during the Iran election shows that, when an issue rises to the top of the social media agenda, it can become a negative for the institution not because of the stance they took, but because they chose not to take a stance.

Thanks to the PDF/TechPres team for the spot!


Google…Editor?!

My reader has been blowing up in the last day. Not because of any special world news or cultural event.

It’s TechCrunch 50 time. Which means they produce higher than their already prolific daily offering announcing all of the cool new tools and “next big things” being rolled out. The buzz winner, without question, is a new way of news searching out of Google. It’s still in labs, but it has a name: they call it Google FastFlip.

How could I not check it out? I’m a pretty loyal disciple of Google in nearly everything else I do online – why can’t enjoying the newspaper and news blogs be the same?

Something was apparent when I surfed over, though: this is a new Google. This is not a plebian algorithm of the link economy that determines the “recommended” stories, at least as far as I can see. A few weeks ago, Google snuck in a recommended portion of its news aggregator at GoogleNews – there is very likely a connection here. But take a look at the following screen shots from FastFlip:

Recommended Articles

Recommended Articles

Google...Editor?!

Most Viewed Articles

See anything going on here? The recommended articles and most viewed are the exact same.

It first crossed my mind that whatever selection method – speaking from the same place that page rank now has in search results – would absolutely crush any results further down the list of recommended reading.

This to me appears like we have come full circle. Even though there is a more localized and topic based search available on the page, it’s below this new masthead of recommended reading. That makes it an afterthought of Google’s determined headlines. And, if this becomes popular, I’m also pretty certain that there will be an impact on search trends, which speaks to an impact on revenue by way of search advertising.

I’m usually not one to get pessimistic this quickly toward the search giant (aside: the most antiquated term out there, as demonstrated in the last years), but I have so many questions about what will determine the recommended reading. Specific partners from the publishers? Stories that are served the most in news search results? Highest rated and “liked” content? Other factors?

Google now has an opportunity – as an institution – to determine and highlight the agenda of the day. The democracy of an infinite blogosphere may actually be in danger from the one partner who once used its reach and tools to push users to every last corner of it.


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