The Expected Decade-in-Review Post

I could be completely predictable and do another year/decade in review type blog post. I’d be late to the party with just three days to go in 2009, plus I stole the fantastic chart from the Times yesterday.

Over my last year, I’ve waxed plenty poetic and accused many an organization of sticking too much to tradition instead of innovation. By doing a year in review, I’m just playing right into that. Look, we get it – according to every media organization ever as well as your eye balls and the University of Common Sense – the way we consume information has radically changed. Hell, I was using Dogpile in 1999. Information seeking alone, we’ve gotten better.

At the end of this year, I don’t think it’s worth recognizing the lack of utility of the old forms of media. There is a time and place for all of that, and we could have easily done this at the end of the last decade, too. You see, the aughts weren’t the first decade in which technology grew to replace its predecessors. Rotary dial was obsolete before I was born, and even that has some sort of impact on our mobile phone media today. Or at least the manner in which you can leave me a voicemail or press 1 for English.

So, this is my impassioned plea: instead of focusing on what we lost, let’s focus on what’s to come. The fantastic developments in the areas of flash media, digital imaging, broadband, wireless. These shouldn’t be seen as the harbingers of doom upon what we know, but instead the start of something great. Make 2010 the year of media innovation – that way the year in review is actually full of optimism instead of obituaries.

Happy New Year to all.

(cc) Flickr user TomRaven


Aught-Bingo

Who needs another, bloated 800-word decade in review when you can do it in chart form in 120 icons?

From the NY Times Op-Ed page (via Gawker):


Merry Christmas!

All the way from Straight No Chaser – enjoy yours with your family.


Newspapers in the ’10s…Same as Record Companies in the ’00s?

The music industry has tirelessly worked to eradicate online file-sharing services.

~CNet, April 22, 2003

Stop me when you’ve heard this one.

Growing networks of access, ease of dissemination, and generously compressed forms of the medium create a monumental rise in the way content is passed from one person to another. The people who produced (note: not created) the original content get upset and start pointing fingers everywhere but themselves for failing to develop the system first.

It was early this decade, and while I won’t dive into a historical recount of the last ten years, there are certainly many similarities between the battle faced by the music industry in the beginning of the decade and the print conflict of today. It isn’t a perfect symmetry, but there is a line that can be drawn that involves the way Internet users have become accustomed to receiving content and the reluctance for the purveyors of that information to try and fit it into that model.

This may be fodder for both sides of the equation, so I’ll tread it carefully: the stigma of Peer-to-Peer music sharing was that of piracy, and even if the method is not that fundamentally different, written content does not have the same issue. However, it’s not that different, and that proof may actually be in history. Look at both media and their archaic counterparts: what’s the difference between taping tunes off the radio and photocopying that story in the Sunday edition?

The anti-establishment in the case of print is in fact part of the establishment. Google is not Napster, and you aren’t going to see the WSJ going after college students for sums of money after downloading a few of its articles (at least I hope not – think of the message you send to the few kids left trying to read a newspaper!). But why not?

We don’t hear much about record companies these days, maybe because they found a way to turn it around. If the system is in fact decently parallel, what is there to learn?

The Music Solution

“We were able to negotiate landmark deals with all of the major labels,” [Apple CEO Steve Jobs] said of the company’s newly launched iTunes Music Store. “There is no legal alternative that’s worth beans.”

~CNet, April 28, 2003

Six and a half years later, there is no doubt that the model developed by iTunes to manage digital music (and later video content) was a success. The numbers speak for themselves when it comes to both revenues and the sheer volume – 70 million songs sold in the first year, 8.5 billion sold as of September 2009. It’s worth noting the growth of the entire vertical of digital music in the last five years, as evidenced by IFPI’s  annual study on the market:

Digital Music Revenues, 2004-2008

The solution for music producers was to move towards the single-serve model, with basically a laterally tiered warehouse for them to move copy. This isn’t the perfect fit, necessarily, for print content, and the fundamental difference is that business model for music sales was not an ad-supported loss-leader. However, that doesn’t mean that there can’t be some reinvention of the method, and unit-by-unit sales is not something that has to be limited to CD tracks or episodes of sitcoms. 99 cents may not be the price point, but the innovation is the lesson here, not the recipe.

The recorded music industry is reinventing itself and its business models. Our world in 2009 looks fundamentally different from how it looked five years ago. Record companies have changed their whole approach to doing business, reshaped their operations and responded to the dramatic transformation in the way music is distributed and consumed.

~John Kennedy, chairman, and chief executive, IF PI, January 2009


Quote of the Day: All A Good Story Edition

“I certainly haven’t heard specifically from Rupert Murdoch-he’s above my pay grade.”

~Josh Cohen, Google News’ senior business project manager

In an interview with the New York Observer, Google’s news guy sets things straight about whether or not there’s a real divide between publishers and Google. (h/t Romenesko)


Sarcasm: Blogging’s Dealbreaker Over Newspapers

I like pandas, and I’m not afraid to admit it. So, when my local National Zoo reports the sad news that the District is losing its adorable, young Panda, part of me feels empty inside.

I needed a laugh this Friday, and it came courtesy of some quick-witted commenters on DCist’s report:

Attack of the Sarcastic Commenters

Sarcasm. It’s why the Internet exists. It’s also one thing we can do when it comes to the medium that really can’t be done as directly and as humorously when it comes to the print version of the story.

Love commenters or hate them, it’s true.


Google’s CEO takes to WSJ Op-Ed Pages

Playing a little defense in the pages of Murdoch’s empire, Eric Schmidt dropped a good-sized Op-Ed in Thursday’s Wall Street Journal. The full piece (subscription required, I’m sure) is available over on WSJ’s Web site, but it is likely little surprise that I will agree with the following:

With dwindling revenue and diminished resources, frustrated newspaper executives are looking for someone to blame. Much of their anger is currently directed at Google, whom many executives view as getting all the benefit from the business relationship without giving much in return. The facts, I believe, suggest otherwise.

Google is a great source of promotion. We send online news publishers a billion clicks a month from Google News and more than three billion extra visits from our other services, such as Web Search and iGoogle. That is 100,000 opportunities a minute to win loyal readers and generate revenue—for free.


Dow Jones CEO: “Turn That Racket Down, Whippersnappers”

On Monday, the World Newspaper Congress kicked off its 62nd round in India. Among the notable speakers from the first two days was the Dow Jones & Co. CEO, Les Hinton, laying the law down about the need for an era of paid content in the digital reality of news.

The more I read into his soundbite worthy comments (come on, who doesn’t love, “Beware of Geeks Bearing Gifts”), I start to notice the core of his solutions have little to do with adaptation.

“Like an over-eager middle-aged dad, desperate to look cool, we ended up dancing obediently to other people’s tunes. For a while. You can almost hear the music – an algorithm and blues soundtrack – accompanying the harbingers of the new economy with the new rules of the new age.”

In this moment, Hinton, along with many others, still are convinced that the solution is to realign information seeking models developed by the developed behaviors of Internet use. Whether it’s continuing the argument of failing to charge for content a decade ago (Paul Jansen, CEO, SPH search, Singapore Press Holdings: “[In 1996], thought we really shouldn’t be given this away for free…We just followed everybody else like a sheep in a herd and did not charge so now we have to make up for our mistakes.”) or the grander arguments about search, the root of the problem is still history to these executives.

I did a pretty big rant last week on the search audience and why its a supplemental gain beyond revenues. However, even Jansen is pointing out the solution more so than what he refers to as a challenge:

“The problem with search is it understanding our customers better than we do.”

There is a solution somewhere between a pay wall and abandoning search, I just know it. A lot of it is going to be teamwork and actual engagement with the audience you already own. If you build loyalists to local content, that’s what you can charge for – not the high-level wires, but the unique, community content. The argument shouldn’t be coming from the top; it should be from the bottom.

I’m not an economics guy, never have been, but there’s a trickle-up method to developing successful online models. Online pubs have (mostly) grown out of the ground, not as offshoots of hierarchical media. Those sites started somewhere, and a lot of where the big online players moved to is based from the support of inbound links and search engine discovery.

These executives (especially Hinton directly) are making the metaphor for me, so I’m just driving it through the ground. They are at this point where they are basically saying they don’t like our rock and roll music and word-of-mouth/worth-of-link credibility. The old school newspaperman is walking into the club and saying, “what about the good old days of Lawrence Welk and when you used to pay for the newspaper for the ads.”

For my closing argument, I’m going to go equally vintage here and respond with an Allan Sherman parody:


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